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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: January 27th, 2024

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  • Like, what is your version of what’s happening that polls aren’t reliable now?

    Didn’t they explain?

    In this case it’s clearly biased against people who don’t answer random numbers. The “not answering” cohort may be correlated with other population groups like people with higher education and higher earnings. The survey may be systematically missing this chunk of the population, making the results biased too.

    Higher educated democrats not surveyed -> the survey misses their opinions -> the survey is wrong when the results come in at election time.











  • If I remember right, most polls show people are against sending weapons. This might be why Scholz is cautious about sending Tauruses. The Baltic states have warned for years that Russia is a threat, even before Ukraine was invaded in 2022. But others didn’t listen to them then, and many still don’t take them seriously. The truth is, Russia is doing better than Ukraine’s allies because people think the conflict won’t reach them, and they prefer not to support politicians who would sacrifice short-term benefits for long-term security.